Monday, November 27, 2006

UCI Professor Mark Levine: Only The Jews Could Have Killed Pierre Gemayel



Hat Tip: IsraelMatzav and Judeopundit

OH MY G-D

As far as I can see, the only party that benefits from Gemayel's assassination is Israel. Israel was the main loser in last summer's war, at least politically and strategically. The country's leaders began threatening a new round of fighting even before they began pulling troops out of the south of Lebanon. Hezbollah's post-war ascendence was the most visible and troubling sign of Israel's seemingly unprecedented military weakness and strategic blundering.

Pulling off an assassination like this, which is by no means beyond Israel's ability, would serve several goals: First, it would turn the chaos that Hezbollah was trying to create in the Lebanese political system against it. Instead of Hezbollah managing the post-war chaos in order to strengthen its position, the movement is now forced onto the defensive and must react to a new dynamic in which Christians (with the exception of the breakaway Aoun faction) and Sunnis are more united than ever in their desire to block Hezbollah's takeover of the system. Second, if the country descends into civil war, which is a frightening, if still distant possibility, Hezbollah would be effectively neutralized, and Israel could rely on Maronites and perhaps Sunnis to attack Hezbollah without Israel facing the international condemnation it received during the war.


He actually mirrored an opinion post from the Tehran Times! This guy TEACHES HISTORY at UC Irvine - he's an Associate Professor of History of the Modern Middle East. Since when is promoting anti-Semitic conspiracy theories an approved activity of a UC professor?

Remember, we're in the top 10 US public universities in at least one major subject matter - I'd rather the university NOT lose that distinction, thank you very much.

He says he's Jewish. If Professor Levine - excuse me, LeVine (he actually pronounces it "Leh-Vee-Neigh") - isn't a self-hating Jew, I don't know WHO is.

Somebody in the administration needs to wake up and verify that Professor Levine is teaching and promoting accurate and appropriate scholarship for his position - and if he's not, he needs to be fired so we can stop wasting the people's money.

Professor Levine's other articles on the Huffington Post

More on Professor Levine from Campus Watch

UPDATE (square bracketing is not mine): A commented pointed out a mistake you'd think a professor of history wouldn't make:

You got the wrong Chinese guy there, mate. [Levine referred to "Chang Tzu" instead of Sun Tzu, patron saint of conspiracy theories--YG] Nice mistake from a celebrated historian.


Professor Levine's whole article:
MARK LEVINE
Who Killed Pierre Gemayel?

In the wake of the latest political assassination to rock Lebanon--this week's shooting of Pierre Gemayel, a scion of one of Lebanon's foremost Maronite political families--suspicion was fallen on the Syrians, and perhaps Hezbollah as the most likely culprits.

There is some logic to this view, given Syria's likely involvement in the assassination in February 2005 of Prime Minister Rafiq Harriri.
Gemayal's is the fifth assassination since Harriri's; most every victim was critical of the Syrians, and to a lesser extent Hezbollah.

But even if we grant that Syria was behind Harriri's assassination (and as I explained in a posting at the time, there is very good evidence to support this assessment) it is hard to see what Syria or Hezbollah gain from Gemayel's killing. Syria is in a stronger regional position than it has been in years. The Bush administration has been forced to eat crow and negotiate with Damascus in order to gain its help tamping down the insurgency in Iraq. It's main sponsor, Iran, is similarly in its strongest geostrategic position in decades, and its ally Hezbollah emerged as the political winner of this summer's war with Israel.

So why would Syria risk upsetting this favorable balance by killing a Maronite politician when Hezbollah had already bolted the government and was threatening massive demonstrations to bring down the post Cedar Revolution political arrangement in favor of one that would better reflect its--and thus Syria's--increasing power? And this question can be asked of anyone who thinks that Hezbollah was somehow involved in or sanctioned the murder, which has sapped the energy out of its latest political machination.

As far as I can see, the only party that benefits from Gemayel's assassination is Israel. Israel was the main loser in last summer's war, at least politically and strategically. The country's leaders began threatening a new round of fighting even before they began pulling troops out of the south of Lebanon. Hezbollah's post-war ascendence was the most visible and troubling sign of Israel's seemingly unprecedented military weakness and strategic blundering.

Pulling off an assassination like this, which is by no means beyond Israel's ability, would serve several goals: First, it would turn the chaos that Hezbollah was trying to create in the Lebanese political system against it. Instead of Hezbollah managing the post-war chaos in order to strengthen its position, the movement is now forced onto the defensive and must react to a new dynamic in which Christians (with the exception of the breakaway Aoun faction) and Sunnis are more united than ever in their desire to block Hezbollah's takeover of the system. Second, if the country descends into civil war, which is a frightening, if still distant possibility, Hezbollah would be effectively neutralized, and Israel could rely on Maronites and perhaps Sunnis to attack Hezbollah without Israel facing the international condemnation it received during the war.

Third, suspicion against Syria--and Druze leader Walid Jumblatt has publicly accused Damascus of being behind the assassination--has stopped the momentum towards normalization with the al-Assad regime and burying of the findings of the harriri assassination commission in consideration of the need to work with Syria on more pressing issues in Iraq. It will also likely end any pressure by the Bush Administration to negotiate a deal for the Golan heights (which the present government has given clear indications it's not in the mood to discuss).

It is true that the Gemayel family was once aligned to Israel; but that was a generation ago. And it was never more than an alliance of convenience for Israel, which the Israeli government abandoned once it was clear its days in Lebanon were numbered.

Killing an old ally at a moment when the blame would be placed on one's enemies may seem far-fetched, but at least as far back as the great Chinese military strategist Chang Tzu "to mystify, mislead and surprise the enemy" has been one of the most well-regarded axioms of warfare. The death of Pierre Gemayel could well push Lebanon to the brink of civil war and lead to further alienation of Syria and Hezbollah; and from the strategic perspective of the Olmert government and a wounded Israeli military, that would be something to give thanks for indeed.

6 comments:

News Service said...

Hi,
It is not surprising that someone wrote that nonsense. It is surprising that you gave them a live HTML link. Every link you give to a "bad guy" web source increases their popularity on the Web - more people will see it in Google and Technorati. Never put working links to such articles.

Sincerely,
Ami Isseroff
Zionism Israel Center.

Concerned UCI Student said...

Hi Ami. Thank you for posting your comment and the cross-post.

I can understand your concern about my posting of "live" links to Professor Levine's articles and bio (as opposed to just posting the text of the URL and letting people copy and paste it into their browser).

I'll consider changing my standard process.

- Concerned UCI Student

MikeNargizian said...

Why would Mr. Levine write such a shooddy piece that has more slander than content?

Is the Professor desperately seeking some attention and name recognition? who knows, and frankly who cares.... but 1 thing is sure if anyone like myself would consider reading his viewpoint in the future, this piece would surely dissuade one from bathering.

Some relevant facts this junior high school piece left out.

Syria wants Lebanon. It is a cash cow for them, a country that has virtually no GDP of its own for a Dictatorial regime that is in trouble at home.

Syria murdered Harriri but as Levine tangentally mentions in passing they have murdered (likely murdered) others. Journalists, politicians, etc... A recent attempt to murder a woman reporter highly critical of Syria... (did Israel do that to Levine?)

FURTHER -

Syria DOES NOT WANT a UN investigation into Harriri, under any circumstances. It can't tolerate that threat to its regime and its hold in Lebanon, and the Int'l implications of that. So Hezbollah resigns from the cabinet but they need another 3 ministers to resign or die.
The same day Gemayel was murdered another membe of the cabinet opposed to Syria narrowly escaped assassination as well... he is under heavy guard now.... (perhaps from the Mossad eh?)

Syria still controls the police, secret services and vast portions of the hapless army via their own agents still there and Hezbollah....

Syria wants the gov't overthrown even though it has the only real army there, Hezbollah, and Lahoud illegally appointed under Syrian threat and coercion, Syria was still kicked out the country (their army) and a tenuous Dictatorship can not tolerate the potential loss of its vital source of money and maintenace of power, Lebanon.

The idea that Syria was going to come out of isolation - offered back Lebanon, as Bush I did in Iraq I after the mass rallies in Lebanon against them.... is a joke.

I really believe that Le Vine believes Israle had anything to do here, his motives are truly pathetic, but ego knows no limits.

MikeNargizian said...

3 times I left a respectful detailed reply to Levine's 'piece' and none were published!

Concerned UCI Student said...

MikeNargizian - I received only two comments from you: (1) your very long comment on 12/2 at 3:24 AM and (2) your complaint about not begin published. I approved both comments.

My assumption is that you didn't post correctly - for instance, after opening the comment window, Blogger starts a timer. You need to type your comment and the word verification, then click the publish button within a certain time limit.

You'll know if you clicked the publish button too late by scrolling down the comment window and see if the text of your comment is in the "Leave your comment" text window. If so, type the new word verification and click publish - it should accept it.

Unless I'm extremely busy, I'll usually moderate comments within 24 to 48 hours.

Jews as other said...

Shouldn't you have called your Blog - Concerned Jewish UCI student?From a British student's point of view the USA's Jewish community does have a habit of trying to remove the tenure of any professor who they regard as not philo-semitic.
Absolute rubbish!